Category: recent IPO research

GoDaddy: Web Domain Guru

gd_rebrand_ogGoDaddy (NYSE: GDDY), based in Scottsdale, AZ, provides internet services including website creation and hosting, internet domain registration, and software applications such as email marketing to businesses and consumers. Consensus estimates call for revenue of $1.6 billion in 2015, which implies 15 percent growth over 2014, and EPS of $0.97 in 2015. By way of contrast the company recorded a seven percent operating margin in 2014, exclusive of depreciation, amortization, and stock-based compensation.

GoDaddy came public on the New York Stock Exchange on April 1, 2015 in a 26 million share IPO priced at $20 per share, in which the company netted roughly $500 million. Importantly, all proceeds from the IPO went to GoDaddy, which placed a priority on reducing its more than $1 billion debt load at the time of the transaction. Post-IPO, GDDY has roughly $243 million in cash and $850 million in total debt. GoDaddy’s IPO was led by an army of investment banks, both large and small, which included Morgan Stanley, J.P. Morgan Securities, Deutsche Bank, RBC Capital Markets, Citigroup, Stifel Nicolaus, KKR Capital, JMP Securities, as well as Oppenheimer and Piper Jaffray and Company. At a recent share price of $27, GoDaddy’s market cap is roughly $4.2 billion.

Founded in 1997, GoDaddy worked hard to develop a presence in website domain registration, largely in the shadow of Network Solutions, a company which VeriSign purchased in 2000 for $21 billion in stock, in a deal which redefined the definition of “goodwill.” VeriSign sold Network Solutions to Pivotal Private Equity for just $100 million three years later. Network Solutions and GoDaddy had the good fortune of having been one of only one of a few Internet registrars accredited by ICANN, a non-profit group that monitors and to some extent polices the registration of internet domains, under the auspices of governments around the world. GoDaddy’s aggressive advertising and pricing, enabled it to gain market and mind share in the registrar market, which has not been blunted, as far as we can tell, by Web.com (NASDAQ: WWWW), through its purchase of Network Solutions for $560 million in 2011. GDDY currently has over 60 million internet domain names under registration, which make it the largest accredited registrar in the world.

GoDaddy explored the idea of an IPO with Lehman Brothers in 2006 and went as far as filing an S-1 before cancelling the deal. In 2011 the company sold a 65 percent stake to a group of private equity investors, which include KKR and Silver Lake Partners. At the time, the transaction was thought to value GoDaddy at roughly $2 billion.

GoDaddy benefits from a diversified business mix, including web domains, which account for about 53 percent of sales, and are growing by 10 percent; website hosting and presence, 37 percent of sales, and growing in excess of 15 percent, and business applications, including email marketing, which account for 10 percent of sales and are growing faster than 15 percent per year. GoDaddy continues to make numerous acquisitions which requires patience to ascertain its organic growth rate.

We note that the company currently operates at a roughly 64 percent gross margin (exclusive of depreciation expense), and a six percent operating margin, exclusive of SBC. We consider these margins sub-par relative to other internet services providers, and would be reluctant to recommend the stock in the absence of some understanding of how the company intends to improve its operating margins. We note that KKR (which was involved in the IPO), as well as SilverLake Ventures, and Technology Crossover Ventures control a combined stake exceeding 50 percent, post-IPO, and we would be surprised were there not a secondary offering down the road.

To see how GoDaddy screens against a comparable group of over 40 Internet IPOs of the last seven years, please contact Battle Road Research.

MaxPoint Interactive: Predicting Customer Behavior

xJ_aOzgX_400x400MaxPoint Interactive (NYSE: MXPT) provides an advertising technology platform that helps national brands drive local in-store sales by predicting likely buyers of a product at a particular retail location, and then executes digital marketing campaigns to reach the buyer. Consensus estimates call for revenue of $90 million in 2015 and a loss of $1.27 per share, as compared to revenue of $62 million and a loss of $5.4 million in 2014. The company revenue presented here excludes Traffic Acquisition Costs, aka TAC.

Founded in 2006 and based in Morrisville, North Carolina, MaxPoint staged its IPO on the NYSE on March 6, 2015 in a 6.5 million share IPO priced at $11.50 per share, in a $75 million transaction in which all net proceeds went to the company. The IPO was led by Goldman Sachs & Company, Deutsche Bank Securities, Pacific Crest, Needham, and William Blair. At a recent share price of $8.30, MaxPoint’s market cap is roughly $216 million.

Based on the premise that an estimated 88 percent of total US retail purchases still occur in stores, rather than online, according to research from EuroMonitor, MaxPoint helps retailers and national brands drive purchases in local stores. It does so by utilizing business intelligence captured in statistical models to analyze what it claims to be over 20 billion daily data points. The company’s models track 44,000 specific neighborhoods, capturing shopper demographics, purchasing power, and other attributes, in order to orchestrate a digital marketing campaign for in-store purchases of consumer products like cars, healthcare products, and certain types of high end consumer products that are still purchased primarily in stores rather than through Amazon.com and other online shopping sites.

As of the beginning of 2015, MaxPoint has 479 enterprise customers that conducted at least $10,000 of business with it in the last 12 months. MaxPoint, according to its website, “has worked” with the 20 largest national advertisers in the US, as well as the top 10 US ad agencies, though it is not clear how many of these it is working with currently. The company’s top ten customers accounted for 30 percent of sales in 2014, and no customer accounted for more than 10 percent of sales.

MaxPoint is the most recent public entrant into the crowded field of advertising technology, which sports no less than seven IPOs in the last several years. The sector has been among the most disappointing technology sub-sectors, with most companies not posting profits, and most trading at severely distressed EV/Sales ratios, based on the expectation for further losses. These include Millennial Media (NYSE: MM), Tremor Video (NYSE: TRMR), YuME (NYSE: YUME), and Rocket Fuel (NASDAQ: FUEL). The stand-out exception appears to be France-based Criteo (NASDAQ: CRTO).

Post-IPO, MaxPoint has a decent balance sheet, with about $39 million in net cash (inclusive of $44 million in debt). To see how MaxPoint Interactive screens against a comparable group of over 40 Internet IPOs of the last seven years, please contact Battle Road Research.

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